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0x96a4e9...91b967

0x96a4e9...91b967
Smart Score
26
Win Rate
37.7%
Total P&L
-$216
Trade Count
441
Sharpe Ratio
1.53
Sortino Ratio
10.06
Max Drawdown
315.0%
ROI
-9.5%
Profit Factor
0.57
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
026/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETBUY99.0¢30.303Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1AM ETSELL69.0¢11.9Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1AM ETSELL55.0¢11.9Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1AM ETBUY21.0¢23.81Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETBUY41.9¢7.16Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ETSELL3.0¢20.83Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ETBUY24.0¢20.833Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11PM ETSELL98.4¢50.08Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11PM ETBUY98.0¢50.082Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10PM ETSELL60.0¢14.81Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10PM ETBUY27.0¢14.815Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETBUY51.0¢19.608Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETBUY43.0¢11.628Mar 4
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETBUY40.0¢17.925Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?SELL0.2¢3,200.5Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?BUY3.8¢1,088.8Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?BUY3.8¢1,161.2Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?BUY4.0¢950.5Feb 26
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETBUY61.0¢6.672Feb 25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETBUY91.0¢4.077Feb 25

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%42%< 10%10%10–20%12%20–30%19%30–50%7%50–70%70–80%3%80–90%8%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing26

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.43
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.7%
Win Consistency57.4%
Profit Factor0.68
Drawdown Resilience0.55
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.55
Weekly Sharpe est.0.42
Trading Activity441 trades · 36 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$9126d profit29d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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