0x97c321...37ed8d

Smart Score

Win Rate

70.0%

Total P&L

+$17

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.18

Sortino Ratio

-0.17

Max Drawdown

373.1%

ROI

0.5%

Profit Factor

7.90

Kelly Fraction

0.611

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

029.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	BUY	99.8¢	170	Mar 5
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?	BUY	97.4¢	170.205	Feb 19
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?	BUY	98.9¢	165.784	Feb 1
US strikes Iran by January 27, 2026?	BUY	99.1¢	163.956	Jan 27
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?	BUY	95.3¢	160	Jan 21
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?	BUY	98.9¢	150	Jan 18
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in January?	SELL	99.1¢	150	Jan 15
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in January?	BUY	99.2¢	150	Jan 14
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	SELL	5.8¢	170	Jan 13
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	4.1¢	170	Jan 12
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?	BUY	99.8¢	150.571	Dec 30
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?	SELL	98.8¢	150	Dec 30
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?	BUY	99.4¢	150	Dec 29
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?	BUY	99.2¢	151.169	Dec 23
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	SELL	1.3¢	140	Dec 21
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	BUY	1.4¢	140	Dec 16
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?	SELL	98.4¢	150	Dec 10
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?	BUY	98.5¢	150	Dec 9
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?	SELL	0.7¢	140	Dec 3
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?	BUY	0.8¢	140	Dec 2

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing29.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.64

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)27.2%

Win Consistency40.9%

Profit Factor0.78

Drawdown Resilience0.63

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.63

Weekly Sharpe est.0.48

Trading Activity36 trades · 35 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,26413d profit22d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue