0x996500...adb6cb

Smart Score

Win Rate

23.1%

Total P&L

-$299

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-3.59

Sortino Ratio

-5.24

Max Drawdown

2390.2%

ROI

-31.3%

Profit Factor

0.09

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?	BUY	85.0¢	207.435	Mar 5
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	SELL	7.6¢	78.12	Mar 5
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?	SELL	25.0¢	681.59	Mar 5
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?	BUY	65.8¢	309.62	Feb 26
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?	BUY	66.8¢	83.034	Feb 26
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?	BUY	11.6¢	43.103	Feb 25
Will Wintermute be accused of insider trading?	SELL	2.3¢	248.6	Feb 25
Will MEXC be accused of insider trading?	SELL	18.0¢	45.45	Feb 24
Will Wintermute be accused of insider trading?	SELL	6.2¢	680.92	Feb 24
Will MEXC be accused of insider trading?	BUY	11.0¢	45.455	Feb 24
Will Tether be accused of insider trading?	BUY	0.6¢	166.667	Feb 24
Will Wintermute be accused of insider trading?	BUY	1.3¢	776.538	Feb 24
Will Binance be accused of insider trading?	BUY	4.0¢	50.419	Feb 24
Will Wintermute be accused of insider trading?	BUY	1.8¢	558.603	Feb 24
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?	BUY	22.0¢	68.182	Feb 18
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?	BUY	26.0¢	23.077	Feb 18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 13?	BUY	6.9¢	134.283	Feb 13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 13?	SELL	98.0¢	9.47	Feb 13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 13?	BUY	8.3¢	241.412	Feb 13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 13?	BUY	6.5¢	153.03	Feb 13

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency30.8%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity30 trades · 7 active days

P&L Calendar

$4752d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue