0x99cbc4...8d4bc2

Smart Score

Win Rate

85.9%

Total P&L

+$1.6K

Trade Count

3,673

Sharpe Ratio

1.16

Sortino Ratio

3.67

Max Drawdown

122.2%

ROI

4.5%

Profit Factor

1.65

Kelly Fraction

0.339

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

033.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 5?	BUY	49.0¢	12.73	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 5?	BUY	79.0¢	11.84	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 5?	BUY	22.0¢	0.48	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 5?	BUY	78.0¢	2.36	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 5?	BUY	22.0¢	5.769	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 5?	BUY	90.0¢	6.81	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 5?	BUY	90.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 5?	BUY	98.9¢	16.82	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 5?	BUY	78.0¢	4.545	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 6?	BUY	98.0¢	23.75	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 6?	BUY	99.6¢	23.87	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on March 6?	BUY	99.9¢	19.91	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 5?	BUY	22.0¢	14.513	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 5?	BUY	22.0¢	1.936	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 5?	BUY	86.0¢	24.7	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 6?	BUY	96.9¢	22.76	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 6?	BUY	96.0¢	0.44	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on March 5?	BUY	99.9¢	5.97	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 5?	BUY	99.0¢	5.93	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 39°F or below on March 5?	BUY	99.9¢	6	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing33.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.84

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)30.4%

Win Consistency64.5%

Profit Factor0.87

Drawdown Resilience0.70

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.70

Weekly Sharpe est.0.53

Trading Activity3,673 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

$31,3290d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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