0x9a3b57...5fc203

Smart Score

Win Rate

48.8%

Total P&L

-$56

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.42

Sortino Ratio

5.49

Max Drawdown

106996.3%

ROI

-4.6%

Profit Factor

0.79

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

027.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?	BUY	22.0¢	100	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	41.0¢	58.53	Mar 4
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	BUY	52.6¢	43.63	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	59.6¢	34.78	Mar 4
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?	BUY	28.0¢	50	Mar 4
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?	BUY	28.0¢	35.71	Mar 4
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	BUY	53.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	BUY	53.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	58.2¢	37.5	Mar 4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?	BUY	86.0¢	104.08	Mar 4
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-04?	BUY	83.0¢	84.04	Mar 4
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?	BUY	69.0¢	73.07	Mar 4
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	BUY	98.0¢	82.82	Mar 4
Will Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?	BUY	43.0¢	162.5	Mar 4
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	BUY	98.0¢	82.82	Mar 4
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 0% and 5.00%?	SELL	99.1¢	2.44	Mar 4
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	10.0¢	184.61	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	33.0¢	72.72	Mar 4
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	12.0¢	184.61	Mar 4
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by March 31, 2026?	BUY	98.2¢	14.14	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing27.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.50

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.8%

Win Consistency36.2%

Profit Factor0.71

Drawdown Resilience0.57

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.57

Weekly Sharpe est.0.44

Trading Activity88 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

$8464d profit7d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue