0x9a97a5...41e316

Smart Score

Win Rate

32.0%

Total P&L

+$36

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.10

Sortino Ratio

-1.59

Max Drawdown

1070.7%

ROI

7.2%

Profit Factor

2.55

Kelly Fraction

0.194

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

07.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	BUY	57.0¢	5.263	Mar 5
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	5.9¢	85.465	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	BUY	57.0¢	17.544	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	SELL	88.0¢	20	Mar 5
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-03?	BUY	17.0¢	5.882	Mar 3
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	3.9¢	30	Mar 3
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	11.0¢	100	Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	SELL	35.0¢	29.6	Mar 3
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?	BUY	14.4¢	34.796	Mar 3
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	8.6¢	116.756	Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	SELL	79.0¢	20	Mar 3
Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	BUY	30.0¢	3.333	Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	BUY	25.0¢	40	Mar 3
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	SELL	59.4¢	17.63	Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	56.0¢	56	Mar 2
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	SELL	58.2¢	52.88	Mar 2
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	37.2¢	30	Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	69.0¢	40	Mar 1
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	SELL	56.8¢	70.5	Mar 1
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?	BUY	3.6¢	27.778	Jan 9

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing7.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.42

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)6.9%

Win Consistency36.0%

Profit Factor0.20

Drawdown Resilience0.16

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.16

Weekly Sharpe est.0.12

Trading Activity52 trades · 7 active days

P&L Calendar

$651d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue