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0x9ac042...af0ceb

0x9ac042...af0ceb
Smart Score
31
Win Rate
29.3%
Total P&L
+$10
Trade Count
256
Sharpe Ratio
0.54
Sortino Ratio
4.74
Max Drawdown
665.8%
ROI
0.5%
Profit Factor
4.99
Kelly Fraction
0.234
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
030.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY52.0¢17.308Mar 4
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL99.2¢6.04Mar 4
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL98.7¢5.06Mar 4
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY98.8¢5.061Mar 4
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL99.6¢5.01Mar 4
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY99.3¢6.042Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL51.0¢11.76Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY51.0¢11.765Mar 4
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY99.7¢5.015Mar 4
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL98.3¢9.14Mar 4
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY98.4¢9.146Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL97.5¢9.22Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY97.6¢9.221Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.7¢5.15Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY96.9¢5.16Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL82.2¢6.07Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY82.3¢6.075Mar 4
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY99.0¢5.051Mar 4
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL99.6¢10.03Mar 4
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL67.0¢10.44Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%4%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%13%50–70%8%70–80%4%80–90%71%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing30.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.70
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)28.1%
Win Consistency47.1%
Profit Factor0.80
Drawdown Resilience0.65
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.65
Weekly Sharpe est.0.49
Trading Activity256 trades · 29 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$12010d profit19d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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