0x9b27a7...fbc30b

Smart Score

Win Rate

57.7%

Total P&L

+$1

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-2.60

Sortino Ratio

-3.48

Max Drawdown

624.3%

ROI

0.8%

Profit Factor

1.86

Kelly Fraction

0.266

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

07.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?	BUY	89.0¢	1.124	Mar 4
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	SELL	9.0¢	9.09	Mar 3
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	SELL	70.9¢	1.29	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	SELL	69.1¢	1.43	Mar 3
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	BUY	11.0¢	9.091	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	BUY	69.5¢	1.439	Mar 3
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	BUY	77.1¢	1.297	Mar 2
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	SELL	26.0¢	3.57	Mar 1
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	BUY	28.0¢	3.571	Mar 1
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?	BUY	77.0¢	1.299	Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	BUY	93.0¢	1.075	Feb 28
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)	SELL	65.0¢	1.51	Feb 28
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?	SELL	60.0¢	3.27	Feb 28
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)	BUY	66.0¢	1.515	Feb 28
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?	BUY	61.0¢	1.639	Feb 28
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?	BUY	61.0¢	1.639	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	SELL	80.0¢	1.28	Feb 28
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-02-27?	SELL	54.0¢	4.92	Feb 27
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-02-27?	BUY	59.0¢	1.695	Feb 27
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-02-27?	BUY	62.0¢	1.613	Feb 27

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing7.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.42

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)7.0%

Win Consistency26.9%

Profit Factor0.20

Drawdown Resilience0.16

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.16

Weekly Sharpe est.0.12

Trading Activity62 trades · 12 active days

P&L Calendar

$92d profit10d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue