0x9ba6c7...e17586

Smart Score

Win Rate

65.9%

Total P&L

+$18

Trade Count

331

Sharpe Ratio

-1.58

Sortino Ratio

-1.48

Max Drawdown

2640.3%

ROI

0.1%

Profit Factor

1.16

Kelly Fraction

0.088

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

04.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	82.8¢	12.08	Mar 5
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	82.8¢	12.077	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ET	SELL	99.8¢	8.04	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ET	BUY	99.5¢	8.04	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ET	SELL	99.9¢	10.1	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ET	BUY	99.0¢	10.101	Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	97.7¢	6.12	Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	97.9¢	6.129	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	97.5¢	5.12	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	97.6¢	5.123	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4PM ET	BUY	98.6¢	6.085	Mar 4
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	SELL	93.1¢	10.67	Mar 4
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	BUY	93.7¢	10.672	Mar 4
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	98.0¢	10.2	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4AM ET	BUY	99.4¢	8.048	Mar 4
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	98.0¢	10.204	Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	96.0¢	5.2	Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	96.0¢	5.208	Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	SELL	91.4¢	9.82	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10PM ET	BUY	99.8¢	7.014	Mar 3

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing4.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.24

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)4.0%

Win Consistency40.5%

Profit Factor0.11

Drawdown Resilience0.09

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.09

Weekly Sharpe est.0.07

Trading Activity331 trades · 39 active days

P&L Calendar

$8227d profit32d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue