0x9be296...06cba5

Smart Score

Win Rate

89.5%

Total P&L

+$50

Trade Count

676

Sharpe Ratio

-0.86

Sortino Ratio

-0.71

Max Drawdown

424.5%

ROI

3.9%

Profit Factor

1.44

Kelly Fraction

0.275

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

015.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 5?	BUY	86.0¢	5.616	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 5?	BUY	97.0¢	5.33	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 5?	BUY	87.0¢	2.437	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 5?	BUY	86.0¢	2.465	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 5?	BUY	83.0¢	1.217	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 5?	BUY	48.0¢	2.438	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 5?	BUY	81.0¢	3.494	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 5?	BUY	91.0¢	4.286	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or higher on March 5?	BUY	58.6¢	4.215	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 5?	BUY	92.0¢	2.38	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 5?	BUY	50.0¢	2.52	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 5?	BUY	92.0¢	2.652	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 5?	BUY	90.0¢	2.89	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 5?	BUY	80.0¢	5.425	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 5?	BUY	79.0¢	5.747	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 5?	BUY	90.0¢	2.689	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 5?	BUY	90.0¢	3.422	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 5?	BUY	90.0¢	3.578	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 6?	BUY	84.0¢	2.702	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 5?	BUY	93.0¢	4.065	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing15.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.83

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)13.7%

Win Consistency53.3%

Profit Factor0.39

Drawdown Resilience0.32

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.32

Weekly Sharpe est.0.24

Trading Activity676 trades · 8 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,2960d profit8d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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