0x9bfff1...c2938e

Smart Score

Win Rate

87.0%

Total P&L

-$179

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.18

Sortino Ratio

1.04

Max Drawdown

76.4%

ROI

-8.5%

Profit Factor

0.14

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

014.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	2.2¢	1.69	Mar 5
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	97.7¢	1.69	Mar 5
Bulls vs. Raptors	BUY	75.0¢	114	Feb 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 6AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	5.84	Nov 21
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 6AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	389.82	Nov 21
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 6AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	14.76	Nov 21
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $105K on May 23?	BUY	99.8¢	1.263	May 23
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $98000 on May 16?	BUY	99.6¢	1.074	May 16
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $93000 on May 9?	BUY	99.8¢	1.232	May 8
Will Ethereum reach $2200 in April?	BUY	99.7¢	1.474	Apr 29
Will Bitcoin reach $110k in April?	BUY	99.9¢	1.381	Apr 29
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1400 and $1500 on Apr 25?	BUY	99.9¢	1.141	Apr 25
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $85000 and $87000 on Apr 25?	BUY	99.9¢	1.351	Apr 25
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1300 and $1400 on Apr 18?	BUY	99.7¢	1.314	Apr 18
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76000 and $78000 on Apr 18?	BUY	99.9¢	1.181	Apr 18
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $90000 on April 4?	BUY	99.7¢	1.384	Apr 4
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31?	BUY	99.9¢	1.431	Mar 28
Will Ethereum hit $3,500.00 again by March 31?	BUY	99.9¢	1.001	Mar 28
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78000 on Mar 28?	BUY	99.8¢	1.463	Mar 28
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $77000 on Mar 21?	BUY	99.8¢	1.303	Mar 21

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing14.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.79

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)13.0%

Win Consistency43.5%

Profit Factor0.37

Drawdown Resilience0.30

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.30

Weekly Sharpe est.0.23

Trading Activity19 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

$3061d profit10d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue