0x9c2a56...c4469c

Smart Score

Win Rate

78.9%

Total P&L

+$1

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.26

Sortino Ratio

2.45

Max Drawdown

24.3%

ROI

0.7%

Profit Factor

18.57

Kelly Fraction

0.747

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

069.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?	BUY	99.6¢	4.618	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	98.1¢	5.107	Mar 3
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 24-March 2?	BUY	99.5¢	2.613	Mar 2
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	96.8¢	4.69	Mar 1
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	98.6¢	3.347	Feb 26
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?	BUY	99.1¢	3.734	Feb 19
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?	SELL	99.7¢	2.7	Feb 19
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	2.705	Feb 18
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?	BUY	99.8¢	2.004	Feb 17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	SELL	95.0¢	6	Feb 17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 14?	BUY	99.9¢	1.501	Feb 13
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?	BUY	99.8¢	3.747	Feb 13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?	SELL	98.6¢	5.34	Feb 13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	92.0¢	6	Feb 8
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?	BUY	99.4¢	4.96	Feb 8
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?	BUY	99.7¢	6.4	Feb 7
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	SELL	91.0¢	4.61	Feb 7
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	89.0¢	4.618	Feb 4
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	10.11	Feb 3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?	BUY	95.5¢	5.34	Feb 1

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active69.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.82

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)63.1%

Win Consistency68.4%

Profit Factor1.80

Drawdown Resilience1.46

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.46

Weekly Sharpe est.1.11

Trading Activity24 trades · 19 active days

P&L Calendar

$842d profit17d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue