0x9cf7cc...a72b29

Smart Score

Win Rate

66.7%

Total P&L

-$5

Trade Count

207

Sharpe Ratio

0.19

Sortino Ratio

0.49

Max Drawdown

102.8%

ROI

-1.3%

Profit Factor

0.88

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

013.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will "Epstein" be said at the Oscars?	BUY	67.0¢	2.09	Mar 5
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05?	BUY	61.0¢	1.639	Mar 5
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week?	BUY	92.0¢	1.087	Mar 5
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	SELL	84.0¢	4.05	Mar 5
Will Europe win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	31.0¢	4.419	Mar 2
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?	SELL	75.0¢	1.81	Mar 2
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	0.9¢	206.667	Mar 1
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	0.9¢	111.111	Mar 1
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	1.1¢	90.909	Mar 1
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on March 31?	BUY	48.0¢	6.25	Mar 1
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?	BUY	55.0¢	1.818	Mar 1
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	1.6¢	62.5	Mar 1
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	1.7¢	58.824	Mar 1
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	SELL	62.0¢	1.14	Mar 1
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	86.0¢	1.36	Mar 1
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	SELL	27.0¢	5.26	Mar 1
Men's Final - Canada vs. USA	BUY	42.0¢	11.905	Feb 22
Will another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?	SELL	46.0¢	3.44	Feb 22
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?	SELL	33.0¢	2.38	Feb 22
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	SELL	72.0¢	1.36	Feb 22

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing13.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.75

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)12.4%

Win Consistency63.7%

Profit Factor0.35

Drawdown Resilience0.29

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.29

Weekly Sharpe est.0.22

Trading Activity186 trades · 30 active days

P&L Calendar

$1038d profit21d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue