0x9d22ae...eaed08

Smart Score

Win Rate

92.3%

Total P&L

-$0

Trade Count

491

Sharpe Ratio

0.52

Sortino Ratio

2.06

Max Drawdown

2293.3%

ROI

-0.0%

Profit Factor

44.37

Kelly Fraction

0.902

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

037.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	SELL	94.9¢	58.05	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	95.0¢	58.05	Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	94.5¢	55.04	Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	94.6¢	55.04	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?	SELL	95.0¢	55.59	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?	BUY	97.6¢	55.59	Mar 4
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	SELL	96.9¢	47.08	Mar 3
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	97.2¢	47.08	Mar 3
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	SELL	95.2¢	58.84	Mar 3
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	BUY	97.3¢	58.84	Mar 3
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	SELL	94.6¢	48.1	Mar 3
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	94.5¢	48.1	Mar 2
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	SELL	95.4¢	60.49	Mar 2
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	BUY	95.7¢	60.49	Mar 2
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	SELL	97.2¢	51.47	Mar 1
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	BUY	97.3¢	51.48	Mar 1
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	SELL	96.1¢	52.71	Mar 1
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	BUY	96.2¢	52.71	Mar 1
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	97.5¢	50.49	Mar 1
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	97.6¢	50.49	Mar 1

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing37.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.08

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)34.5%

Win Consistency32.2%

Profit Factor0.99

Drawdown Resilience0.80

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.80

Weekly Sharpe est.0.61

Trading Activity491 trades · 34 active days

P&L Calendar

$6313d profit21d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue