Accrue
Log inGet Access

0x9d3156...e135f2

0x9d3156...e135f2
Smart Score
6
Win Rate
41.8%
Total P&L
-$43
Trade Count
183
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09
Sortino Ratio
-0.20
Max Drawdown
2330.0%
ROI
-3.4%
Profit Factor
0.85
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
05.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will "Apple Music" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?BUY14.0¢20Mar 5
Will "Apple Music" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?BUY13.0¢11.1Mar 5
Will "Apple Watch" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?SELL14.0¢29.66Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?BUY16.0¢31.25Mar 5
Will "Apple Watch" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?BUY12.0¢29.66Mar 5
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?BUY66.7¢7.5Mar 5
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?BUY61.2¢6.69Mar 5
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?BUY72.0¢13.889Mar 2
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?BUY59.0¢5Mar 2
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?BUY23.0¢5Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY31.5¢10Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY42.2¢10Mar 2
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?BUY48.0¢10.417Mar 2
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?BUY21.0¢19.048Mar 2
Michigan Wolverines vs. Illinois Fighting IlliniBUY55.0¢9.091Feb 27
Chile Open: Andrea Pellegrino vs Luciano DarderiBUY4.9¢20.408Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY19.0¢26.316Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?SELL34.0¢20.83Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?BUY24.0¢20.833Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?BUY17.0¢29.412Feb 27

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%5%< 10%14%10–20%8%20–30%23%30–50%35%50–70%8%70–80%5%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing5.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.31
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)5.2%
Win Consistency39.6%
Profit Factor0.15
Drawdown Resilience0.12
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.12
Weekly Sharpe est.0.09
Trading Activity183 trades · 21 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$6346d profit15d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

Unlock Full Analytics