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0x9dd0dd...cadd03

0x9dd0dd...cadd03
Smart Score
34
Win Rate
68.6%
Total P&L
+$2.8K
Trade Count
560
Sharpe Ratio
0.50
Sortino Ratio
1.76
Max Drawdown
2184.7%
ROI
25.4%
Profit Factor
3.73
Kelly Fraction
0.502
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
034.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.5¢90Mar 5
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY1.6¢90Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL60.7¢30Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY61.1¢30Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?BUY50.1¢20Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?BUY50.0¢20Mar 5
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY2.0¢50Mar 5
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.1¢50Mar 5
GTA VI released before June 2026?BUY96.8¢50Mar 5
GTA VI released before June 2026?BUY3.3¢50Mar 5
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?BUY1.2¢90Mar 5
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?BUY98.9¢90Mar 5
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY1.2¢90Mar 4
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.9¢90Mar 4
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY98.6¢80Mar 4
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY1.5¢80Mar 4
GTA VI released before June 2026?SELL97.1¢70Mar 4
GTA VI released before June 2026?BUY97.5¢70Mar 4
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY1.5¢70Mar 4
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY98.6¢70Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%33%< 10%12%10–20%4%20–30%7%30–50%6%50–70%70–80%8%80–90%29%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing34.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.88
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)31.1%
Win Consistency45.4%
Profit Factor0.89
Drawdown Resilience0.72
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.72
Weekly Sharpe est.0.55
Trading Activity560 trades · 13 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$8,9020d profit13d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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