0x9e1410a1CA742Ad63EE3F42330Ca37E331af833c-1771777415810

0x9e1410...af833c

Smart Score

Win Rate

58.1%

Total P&L

+$9

Trade Count

737

Sharpe Ratio

0.38

Sortino Ratio

1.28

Max Drawdown

676.8%

ROI

0.3%

Profit Factor

1.06

Kelly Fraction

0.034

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

021.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in March?	SELL	93.7¢	5	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	SELL	17.2¢	5	Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	SELL	80.0¢	5	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	52.0¢	5	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	49.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	83.8¢	5	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?	SELL	86.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	BUY	55.0¢	1.07	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	BUY	55.0¢	3.93	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	66.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	50.0¢	5	Mar 4
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?	SELL	91.0¢	5	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?	BUY	96.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	BUY	17.6¢	5	Mar 4
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	90.2¢	5	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	BUY	83.2¢	5	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	20.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	BUY	79.9¢	5	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?	BUY	86.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	BUY	18.7¢	5	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing21.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.18

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.5%

Win Consistency48.4%

Profit Factor0.56

Drawdown Resilience0.45

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.45

Weekly Sharpe est.0.34

Trading Activity737 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

$2293d profit8d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue