0x9e1a5c...a1d74b

Smart Score

Win Rate

32.4%

Total P&L

+$907

Trade Count

377

Sharpe Ratio

1.13

Sortino Ratio

220.83

Max Drawdown

1481.3%

ROI

28.1%

Profit Factor

2.38

Kelly Fraction

0.188

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

034.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	SELL	92.0¢	32.63	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	BUY	73.0¢	15.068	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	BUY	36.0¢	2.778	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	BUY	62.1¢	16.11	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	BUY	54.0¢	1.852	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	BUY	60.0¢	8.333	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	BUY	7.5¢	13.333	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	BUY	9.0¢	11.111	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	BUY	86.0¢	11.628	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	BUY	85.1¢	11.748	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	1.6¢	8.33	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	0.8¢	7.69	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	0.1¢	6.66	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	15.6¢	20	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	13.4¢	7.463	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	BUY	12.0¢	83.333	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	BUY	9.0¢	11.111	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	BUY	10.0¢	11.11	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	BUY	89.0¢	112.36	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	BUY	12.0¢	8.333	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing34.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.89

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)31.3%

Win Consistency56.3%

Profit Factor0.89

Drawdown Resilience0.72

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.72

Weekly Sharpe est.0.55

Trading Activity377 trades · 7 active days

P&L Calendar

$8462d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue