0x9e3403...8dc876

Smart Score

Win Rate

36.8%

Total P&L

+$107.3K

Trade Count

994

Sharpe Ratio

1.13

Sortino Ratio

5.93

Max Drawdown

314.1%

ROI

57.8%

Profit Factor

33.14

Kelly Fraction

0.357

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

044.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	SELL	20.6¢	2,166.58	Mar 4
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?	SELL	49.9¢	4,971.28	Mar 4
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	SELL	22.0¢	206.22	Mar 4
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?	SELL	22.0¢	445.65	Mar 4
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	SELL	22.0¢	5	Mar 4
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?	BUY	27.0¢	18.519	Mar 4
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?	BUY	23.4¢	427.139	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	16.0¢	2,512.98	Mar 4
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?	SELL	55.0¢	17.02	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL	42.0¢	7,892.96	Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL	42.0¢	232.55	Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL	42.0¢	435	Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL	42.0¢	232.55	Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL	42.0¢	46.51	Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL	42.0¢	701.76	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	BUY	30.0¢	33.387	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	SELL	68.3¢	159.05	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	BUY	62.0¢	161.291	Mar 3
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	BUY	19.9¢	5.024	Mar 3
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	BUY	19.0¢	57.895	Mar 3

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing44.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.44

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)40.4%

Win Consistency50.0%

Profit Factor1.15

Drawdown Resilience0.93

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.93

Weekly Sharpe est.0.71

Trading Activity994 trades · 22 active days

P&L Calendar

+$106,5119d profit13d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue