0x9e4c0f...d060a7

Smart Score

Win Rate

49.8%

Total P&L

+$28

Trade Count

1,005

Sharpe Ratio

0.29

Sortino Ratio

21.81

Max Drawdown

3305.1%

ROI

0.6%

Profit Factor

1.04

Kelly Fraction

0.021

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

023.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	11.2¢	44.643	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	2.7¢	186.654	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	19.4¢	25.827	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	2.5¢	203.313	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	24.1¢	41.494	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	40.5¢	35.71	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	28.0¢	35.714	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	29.0¢	33.78	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	29.6¢	33.784	Mar 4
Will Social Democrats win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?	BUY	4.0¢	125	Mar 3
Will Liberal Alliance win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?	BUY	0.9¢	1,176.374	Mar 3
Trump out as President by March 31?	SELL	2.4¢	87.74	Mar 3
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,400 by end of March?	BUY	7.5¢	67.11	Mar 3
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of March?	BUY	20.0¢	25	Mar 3
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of March?	BUY	37.7¢	26.505	Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?	BUY	4.1¢	244.53	Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?	BUY	10.0¢	100	Mar 3
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by March 31, 2026?	BUY	7.0¢	71.857	Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	BUY	26.0¢	19.231	Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?	BUY	11.0¢	45.455	Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing23.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.29

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)21.3%

Win Consistency25.6%

Profit Factor0.61

Drawdown Resilience0.49

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.49

Weekly Sharpe est.0.37

Trading Activity1,005 trades · 20 active days

P&L Calendar

$3555d profit15d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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