0x9e599d...e1a2b3

0x9e599d...e1a2b3
Smart Score
29
Win Rate
100.0%
Total P&L
+$5
Trade Count
99
Sharpe Ratio
0.59
Sortino Ratio
0.73
Max Drawdown
190.9%
ROI
0.0%
Profit Factor
10.00
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
029.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
GTA VI released before June 2026?SELL97.7¢87.94Mar 5
GTA VI released before June 2026?SELL97.7¢10Mar 5
GTA VI released before June 2026?SELL97.7¢677.06Mar 5
GTA VI released before June 2026?BUY96.8¢775Mar 5
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL1.6¢987Mar 4
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY1.7¢108Mar 4
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY1.7¢121Mar 4
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY1.5¢758Mar 4
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL3.4¢1,139Mar 4
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL3.4¢788Mar 4
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY3.4¢855Mar 4
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY3.4¢235Mar 4
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY3.4¢837Mar 4
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL1.2¢1,222Mar 3
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY1.2¢1,222Mar 3
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL74.6¢995Mar 3
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL74.5¢10Mar 3
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY74.6¢1,005Mar 3
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL1.4¢496Mar 2
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY1.3¢496.14Mar 2
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%44%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%12%70–80%4%80–90%38%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing29.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.61
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.7%
Win Consistency50.0%
Profit Factor0.76
Drawdown Resilience0.62
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.62
Weekly Sharpe est.0.47
Trading Activity99 trades · 16 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$67d profit9d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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