0x9e8d0d...fdd46c

Smart Score

Win Rate

70.0%

Total P&L

-$288

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.12

Sortino Ratio

17.39

Max Drawdown

73.1%

ROI

-0.7%

Profit Factor

0.33

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

021.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.2¢	653	Mar 5
Pistons vs. Spurs	BUY	60.0¢	178.85	Mar 5
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.0¢	706.23	Mar 4
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.1¢	706.23	Mar 4
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	SELL	99.7¢	450.25	Mar 4
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	BUY	99.8¢	450.25	Mar 4
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.6¢	47.038	Mar 4
Jones vs. Gentzsch: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5	BUY	50.0¢	112.87	Mar 3
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.2¢	551	Mar 1
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.3¢	551	Mar 1
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?	BUY	42.0¢	160.08	Feb 28
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.7¢	615	Feb 26
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.8¢	615	Feb 26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 26?	BUY	99.7¢	35.998	Feb 26
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-25?	BUY	45.0¢	27.01	Feb 24
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.1¢	798.77	Feb 24
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.2¢	798.77	Feb 24
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.2¢	598.38	Feb 24
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.3¢	598.38	Feb 24
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.1¢	593.59	Feb 22

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing21.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.20

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.9%

Win Consistency28.8%

Profit Factor0.57

Drawdown Resilience0.46

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.46

Weekly Sharpe est.0.35

Trading Activity89 trades · 33 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,6754d profit29d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue