0x9ef582...7c5d4f

Smart Score

Win Rate

60.6%

Total P&L

+$84.8K

Trade Count

966

Sharpe Ratio

0.12

Sortino Ratio

0.14

Max Drawdown

149.9%

ROI

7.7%

Profit Factor

1.37

Kelly Fraction

0.165

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

015.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	BUY	99.9¢	25,145.74	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	BUY	99.9¢	7,000	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	BUY	99.9¢	4,006.01	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	BUY	99.9¢	250.25	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	BUY	99.9¢	7,998	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	BUY	99.9¢	15,000	Mar 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	SELL	3.9¢	428.4	Mar 3
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?	BUY	99.8¢	1,630.14	Mar 3
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?	BUY	99.8¢	5,895	Mar 3
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?	BUY	99.8¢	750	Mar 3
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?	BUY	99.8¢	2,000	Mar 3
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?	BUY	99.8¢	2,068.86	Mar 3
Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?	BUY	95.2¢	27.62	Mar 3
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?	BUY	99.9¢	100	Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	99.8¢	940	Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	0.2¢	442.39	Mar 1
Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	99.9¢	3,464.28	Feb 28
Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	99.9¢	1,000	Feb 28
Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	99.9¢	1,000	Feb 28
Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	99.9¢	9,909.28	Feb 28

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing15.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.86

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)14.2%

Win Consistency60.5%

Profit Factor0.41

Drawdown Resilience0.33

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.33

Weekly Sharpe est.0.25

Trading Activity966 trades · 15 active days

P&L Calendar

$542,7864d profit11d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue