0x9f206e...6b9e6d

Smart Score

Win Rate

50.0%

Total P&L

-$89

Trade Count

395

Sharpe Ratio

-0.35

Sortino Ratio

-0.55

Max Drawdown

2908.3%

ROI

-12.4%

Profit Factor

0.18

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	85.3¢	5.89	Mar 5
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	83.8¢	5.895	Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	74.0¢	7.06	Mar 4
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	78.5¢	3.758	Mar 3
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	82.3¢	3.597	Mar 3
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	69.2¢	7.066	Mar 3
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	73.0¢	6.712	Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	2.993	Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	2.993	Mar 1
Will "GOAT" Third Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?	BUY	81.0¢	6.049	Mar 1
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	SELL	36.0¢	18.92	Mar 1
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	25.0¢	18.92	Mar 1
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?	SELL	99.7¢	5.21	Mar 1
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	SELL	99.8¢	5	Feb 27
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?	BUY	95.5¢	5.215	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	SELL	91.9¢	10.64	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	BUY	92.7¢	5.361	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	BUY	94.2¢	5.287	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?	SELL	31.0¢	27.64	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?	BUY	17.0¢	27.647	Feb 27

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency47.4%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity395 trades · 24 active days

P&L Calendar

$2289d profit15d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue