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0x9f3a54...16f334

0x9f3a54...16f334
Smart Score
73
Win Rate
45.5%
Total P&L
+$58
Trade Count
50
Sharpe Ratio
2.51
Sortino Ratio
10.70
Max Drawdown
55.8%
ROI
75.4%
Profit Factor
4.95
Kelly Fraction
0.363
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
073/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY1.4¢71.429Mar 5
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?BUY29.0¢6.897Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL45.1¢24.09Mar 4
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL8.0¢2.63Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?SELL25.0¢4.16Mar 4
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?SELL3.3¢35.71Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY24.0¢4.167Mar 3
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?BUY10.0¢10Mar 2
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY8.1¢24.691Mar 2
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY8.3¢24.096Mar 2
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?BUY7.0¢14.286Mar 2
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY2.8¢35.714Mar 1
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY38.0¢2.632Mar 1
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31?BUY5.4¢18.519Feb 26
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?BUY15.0¢6.667Feb 26
Will Juventus advance to the round of 16?BUY20.0¢5Feb 25
Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?BUY4.5¢22.222Feb 25
Will the US next strike Iran on March 6, 2026 (ET)?BUY3.8¢26.579Feb 25
Will the US next strike Iran on March 5, 2026 (ET)?BUY2.1¢48.095Feb 25
Will the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)?BUY2.9¢34.164Feb 25

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%41%< 10%11%10–20%25%20–30%18%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active73

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.01
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)66.4%
Win Consistency68.4%
Profit Factor1.90
Drawdown Resilience1.53
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.53
Weekly Sharpe est.1.17
Trading Activity50 trades · 10 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$311d profit9d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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