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0x9f785b...8a9dbb

0x9f785b...8a9dbb
Smart Score
25
Win Rate
66.4%
Total P&L
+$29
Trade Count
485
Sharpe Ratio
-1.96
Sortino Ratio
-1.77
Max Drawdown
40622.7%
ROI
0.8%
Profit Factor
7.49
Kelly Fraction
0.576
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
024.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY78.9¢10.139Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11PM ETBUY99.0¢10.101Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL61.0¢8.07Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ETSELL99.9¢6.06Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL91.5¢7.72Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?SELL51.0¢19.26Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY62.0¢8.065Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ETBUY99.0¢6.061Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL97.5¢9.25Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY97.6¢9.221Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ETSELL73.0¢8.24Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ETBUY97.0¢8.247Mar 4
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.3¢5.15Mar 4
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.4¢5.133Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5PM ETBUY99.5¢10.05Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL91.4¢9.83Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY91.6¢9.825Mar 4
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL96.5¢10.35Mar 4
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.6¢10.352Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1PM ETBUY99.7¢6.018Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%12%50–70%8%70–80%8%80–90%69%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing24.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.36
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.6%
Win Consistency46.0%
Profit Factor0.64
Drawdown Resilience0.52
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.52
Weekly Sharpe est.0.40
Trading Activity485 trades · 39 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$55910d profit29d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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