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0x9f83f8...176cd9

0x9f83f8...176cd9
Smart Score
33
Win Rate
81.7%
Total P&L
+$21.0K
Trade Count
989
Sharpe Ratio
0.18
Sortino Ratio
1.06
Max Drawdown
174.9%
ROI
4.3%
Profit Factor
2.07
Kelly Fraction
0.422
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
032.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY78.8¢210Mar 2
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY99.8¢1,021Feb 28
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY61.0¢600Feb 25
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY61.0¢583Feb 25
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?SELL64.0¢63.18Feb 18
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?SELL64.0¢397.351Feb 18
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY57.0¢200Feb 18
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY61.0¢17.3Feb 17
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY61.0¢10.923Feb 17
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY61.0¢1.77Feb 17
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?BUY98.3¢101.697Feb 15
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY60.0¢124Feb 15
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY60.0¢172.5Feb 14
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY60.0¢50Feb 13
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY60.0¢114.04Feb 13
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?SELL98.3¢200Feb 12
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?SELL59.0¢200.01Feb 12
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY1.5¢274.75Feb 12
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY1.5¢1.015Feb 12
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY1.5¢8.294Feb 12

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%4%< 10%10–20%20–30%8%30–50%12%50–70%70–80%9%80–90%59%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing32.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.80
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)29.8%
Win Consistency63.0%
Profit Factor0.85
Drawdown Resilience0.69
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.69
Weekly Sharpe est.0.52
Trading Activity989 trades · 119 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$276,17933d profit86d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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