0x9f87af...7baa1b

Smart Score

Win Rate

84.6%

Total P&L

+$4

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.22

Sortino Ratio

7.84

Max Drawdown

11.8%

ROI

0.7%

Profit Factor

200.68

Kelly Fraction

0.842

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

069.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Mistral have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?	BUY	99.7¢	16.77	Mar 5
Will Meituan have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?	BUY	99.7¢	19	Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	17.88	Mar 3
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	31	Feb 5
Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	32.66	Feb 5
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	35	Feb 5
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	33.4	Feb 5
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?	SELL	99.6¢	24.67	Jan 30
Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	99.9¢	70	Jan 27
Will the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	99.9¢	16.2	Jan 23
Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?	BUY	99.9¢	56.2	Jan 23
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	73.303	Jan 15
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	BUY	93.9¢	34.309	Jan 15
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?	BUY	95.0¢	24.674	Jan 15

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active69.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.82

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)63.2%

Win Consistency61.5%

Profit Factor1.81

Drawdown Resilience1.46

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.46

Weekly Sharpe est.1.11

Trading Activity14 trades · 8 active days

P&L Calendar

$4321d profit7d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue