0x9f8977...e6ccf7

Smart Score

Win Rate

77.5%

Total P&L

-$111

Trade Count

540

Sharpe Ratio

0.26

Sortino Ratio

1.38

Max Drawdown

125764.7%

ROI

-0.5%

Profit Factor

0.96

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

013.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	88.0¢	20	Mar 5
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	88.0¢	22	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?	BUY	96.8¢	81	Mar 5
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	91.0¢	16	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 5?	BUY	88.5¢	7	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 5?	BUY	88.5¢	22	Mar 5
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	91.0¢	70	Mar 5
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	91.0¢	82	Mar 5
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	91.0¢	21	Mar 5
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	91.0¢	22	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 5?	BUY	89.3¢	84	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 5?	BUY	87.8¢	22	Mar 5
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on March 5?	BUY	94.7¢	21	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?	BUY	95.0¢	20	Mar 5
Will the SBC initiative be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?	BUY	90.7¢	22	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Iraq in March?	BUY	93.0¢	5	Mar 5
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 7?	BUY	89.0¢	45.71	Mar 5
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 7?	BUY	89.0¢	8.71	Mar 5
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 7?	BUY	89.0¢	4.182	Mar 5
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 7?	BUY	90.0¢	7.9	Mar 5

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing13.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.74

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)12.2%

Win Consistency36.4%

Profit Factor0.35

Drawdown Resilience0.28

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.28

Weekly Sharpe est.0.21

Trading Activity540 trades · 12 active days

P&L Calendar

$19,3311d profit11d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue