0x9fdd90...45f376

Smart Score

Win Rate

85.2%

Total P&L

-$9

Trade Count

153

Sharpe Ratio

-0.62

Sortino Ratio

-0.50

Max Drawdown

1921.6%

ROI

-0.1%

Profit Factor

-49.32

Kelly Fraction

0.869

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will NVIDIA reach $280 in March?	BUY	99.5¢	5.025	Mar 5
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $200 end of March?	BUY	99.9¢	5.005	Mar 5
Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	5.01	Mar 5
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above $305?	BUY	99.8¢	5.01	Mar 5
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?	BUY	99.8¢	5.01	Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	5.005	Mar 5
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by February 28?	BUY	99.4¢	5.03	Feb 18
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $630b on February 28?	BUY	99.8¢	5.01	Feb 18
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	BUY	99.8¢	5.01	Feb 18
Will Z.ai have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	5.01	Feb 18
Will Claude 5 be released on February 20, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	5.005	Feb 18
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of February 9 above $330?	BUY	99.9¢	5.005	Feb 12
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of February 9 above $365?	BUY	99.9¢	5.005	Feb 12
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	BUY	99.5¢	5.025	Feb 12
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	BUY	99.8¢	5.01	Feb 12
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?	BUY	99.3¢	5.035	Feb 12
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of February 9 above $2.50?	BUY	99.9¢	5.005	Feb 12
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 9 above $145?	BUY	99.9¢	5.005	Feb 12
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	SELL	97.5¢	5.06	Feb 5
Will the US next strike Iran on February 4, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	99.4¢	5.03	Feb 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency49.4%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity153 trades · 24 active days

P&L Calendar

$3004d profit20d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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