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0xa015ef...9780bb

0xa015ef...9780bb
Smart Score
28
Win Rate
23.1%
Total P&L
+$1.2K
Trade Count
638
Sharpe Ratio
0.84
Sortino Ratio
14.97
Max Drawdown
334.0%
ROI
5.9%
Profit Factor
1.18
Kelly Fraction
0.036
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
028/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETBUY17.0¢58.882Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?BUY2.4¢3,960.489Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETBUY6.0¢50Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETBUY7.0¢71.429Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETBUY11.0¢45.545Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETBUY15.0¢33.4Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETBUY18.0¢55.556Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETBUY20.0¢50.083Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 4?BUY1.5¢4,616.398Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETBUY18.0¢26.389Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETBUY20.0¢50Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETBUY30.0¢33.333Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 3?BUY3.6¢2,767.947Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:00PM-3:15PM ETBUY54.2¢197.886Feb 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETBUY24.9¢40.221Feb 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETBUY37.0¢40.81Feb 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETBUY40.0¢25Feb 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETBUY49.0¢40.816Feb 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETBUY23.0¢43.478Feb 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETBUY28.0¢35.714Feb 24

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%29%< 10%24%10–20%18%20–30%27%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing28

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.54
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.5%
Win Consistency84.1%
Profit Factor0.73
Drawdown Resilience0.59
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.59
Weekly Sharpe est.0.45
Trading Activity638 trades · 35 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$4,8515d profit29d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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