0xa06b47...b98c1f

Smart Score

Win Rate

25.0%

Total P&L

+$4

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.03

Sortino Ratio

-0.03

Max Drawdown

22.9%

ROI

6.0%

Profit Factor

4.73

Kelly Fraction

0.197

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

041.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	SELL	99.4¢	1.3	Mar 5
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	99.5¢	1.306	Mar 5
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	SELL	99.7¢	1.16	Mar 5
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	BUY	99.8¢	1.162	Mar 5
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	SELL	99.7¢	1.17	Mar 5
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	98.9¢	1.314	Mar 5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	99.4¢	1.29	Mar 5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.5¢	1.296	Mar 5
Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	SELL	98.5¢	1.32	Mar 5
Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	BUY	98.7¢	1.327	Mar 5
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	99.7¢	1.15	Mar 5
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	BUY	99.8¢	1.172	Mar 5
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship?	SELL	98.0¢	1.32	Mar 4
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship?	BUY	98.1¢	1.315	Mar 4
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	98.0¢	1.19	Mar 4
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	98.2¢	1.191	Mar 4
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	99.5¢	1.24	Mar 4
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	99.2¢	1.159	Mar 4
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	SELL	98.6¢	1.3	Mar 4
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	98.7¢	1.307	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing41.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.30

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)38.1%

Win Consistency29.2%

Profit Factor1.09

Drawdown Resilience0.88

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.88

Weekly Sharpe est.0.67

Trading Activity41 trades · 4 active days

P&L Calendar

$11d profit3d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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