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0xa06ee5...b7f814

0xa06ee5...b7f814
Smart Score
20
Win Rate
23.5%
Total P&L
-$12
Trade Count
40
Sharpe Ratio
0.69
Sortino Ratio
162.36
Max Drawdown
155.8%
ROI
-5.1%
Profit Factor
0.82
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
020.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
US forces enter Iran by March 14?BUY76.0¢30Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY42.0¢30Mar 5
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.1¢400Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.2¢41.63Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.2¢3,323.57Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.2¢0.17Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.2¢0.1Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.2¢0.74Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.2¢0.63Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.2¢0.17Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.2¢132.99Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.2¢400Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.3¢400Feb 28
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY41.0¢50Feb 21
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?SELL3.4¢125.32Jan 25
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?SELL3.4¢2.47Jan 24
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?SELL3.4¢37.92Jan 24
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23?BUY39.0¢10Jan 23
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?BUY38.5¢13Jan 23
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?SELL51.0¢50Jan 23

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%65%< 10%6%10–20%6%20–30%15%30–50%6%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing20.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.12
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.5%
Win Consistency29.4%
Profit Factor0.53
Drawdown Resilience0.43
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.43
Weekly Sharpe est.0.32
Trading Activity40 trades · 11 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1382d profit9d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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