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0xa09d35...d8af80

0xa09d35...d8af80
Smart Score
40
Win Rate
39.0%
Total P&L
+$32.9K
Trade Count
347
Sharpe Ratio
0.64
Sortino Ratio
17.78
Max Drawdown
303.4%
ROI
53.1%
Profit Factor
4.10
Kelly Fraction
0.295
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
039.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETBUY47.0¢200Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETSELL28.4¢200Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETBUY46.0¢200Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETSELL17.7¢9.97Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETBUY45.0¢161.81Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETBUY45.0¢38.185Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETBUY48.0¢185Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETBUY48.0¢12Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETBUY48.0¢3Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETBUY49.0¢200Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETBUY49.0¢200Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETSELL14.0¢200Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETBUY49.0¢200Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?BUY97.6¢4,317.162Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?SELL73.4¢614.55Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?BUY81.4¢614.556Mar 4
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?BUY75.3¢1,327.68Mar 4
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?SELL92.4¢5,695.76Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY85.2¢5,511.484Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?BUY99.6¢4,695.07Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%7%< 10%4%10–20%20%20–30%26%30–50%40%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing39.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.18
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)36.0%
Win Consistency44.0%
Profit Factor1.03
Drawdown Resilience0.83
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.83
Weekly Sharpe est.0.63
Trading Activity347 trades · 14 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$32,0152d profit11d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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