0xa0b061...2ea5fb

Smart Score

Win Rate

37.3%

Total P&L

-$1.5K

Trade Count

1,537

Sharpe Ratio

0.35

Sortino Ratio

3.45

Max Drawdown

1063.4%

ROI

-2.3%

Profit Factor

0.61

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

019.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	79.0¢	99.98	Mar 5
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?	BUY	37.0¢	61.96	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	BUY	82.0¢	44.8	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	BUY	82.0¢	107	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	SELL	74.7¢	171.91	Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?	SELL	98.9¢	1.07	Mar 5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?	SELL	94.2¢	1.2	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	BUY	82.0¢	121.951	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	BUY	82.0¢	243.902	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	1.5¢	67.667	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	2.3¢	43.478	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	2.3¢	43.478	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	3.4¢	29.412	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	15.0¢	20	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	16.0¢	6.25	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	20.0¢	10	Mar 4
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?	BUY	51.0¢	5	Mar 4
Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?	BUY	80.0¢	110.74	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	64.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	70.0¢	10	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing19.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.08

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)17.8%

Win Consistency47.4%

Profit Factor0.51

Drawdown Resilience0.41

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.41

Weekly Sharpe est.0.31

Trading Activity1,537 trades · 55 active days

P&L Calendar

$6,26818d profit37d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue