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0xa0f21e...621848

0xa0f21e...621848
Smart Score
14
Win Rate
33.2%
Total P&L
-$330.6K
Trade Count
995
Sharpe Ratio
2.02
Sortino Ratio
1173.19
Max Drawdown
2341.9%
ROI
-62.5%
Profit Factor
0.32
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
014.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY15.5¢555Mar 4
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY15.5¢628Mar 4
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY15.0¢528Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY25.0¢41Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY25.0¢221Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY25.0¢5Mar 4
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY1.0¢1,932Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY16.8¢452Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?BUY0.5¢1,069Mar 4
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY1.5¢70Mar 4
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY8.9¢454Mar 3
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?BUY1.0¢56.59Mar 3
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?BUY0.5¢294.35Mar 3
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?BUY1.0¢15Mar 3
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY8.9¢363Mar 3
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?BUY1.0¢1,000Mar 3
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?BUY1.0¢366Mar 3
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?BUY1.0¢282Mar 3
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?BUY1.0¢30Mar 3
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?BUY1.0¢1.02Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%21%< 10%5%10–20%20–30%60%30–50%7%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing14.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.78
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)12.8%
Win Consistency67.9%
Profit Factor0.37
Drawdown Resilience0.30
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.30
Weekly Sharpe est.0.23
Trading Activity995 trades · 26 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$475,4371d profit25d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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