0xa136c0...246cda

Smart Score

Win Rate

53.8%

Total P&L

+$0

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

11.23

Sortino Ratio

43.15

Max Drawdown

36.5%

ROI

0.9%

Profit Factor

1.07

Kelly Fraction

0.034

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

052.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 5?	BUY	29.0¢	3.448	Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?	BUY	22.0¢	4.545	Mar 5
U.S. strike on Somalia by March 7?	SELL	69.0¢	5.81	Mar 5
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	10.5¢	9.524	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	99.1¢	1.009	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	62.6¢	1.597	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	74.0¢	6.757	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	SELL	73.0¢	4.31	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	BUY	23.0¢	4.348	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	BUY	35.0¢	2.857	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	BUY	43.0¢	2.326	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	BUY	60.9¢	1.642	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	BUY	47.0¢	2.128	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	82.0¢	6.098	Mar 4
U.S. strike on Somalia by March 7?	BUY	43.0¢	23.256	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing52.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.87

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)47.4%

Win Consistency84.6%

Profit Factor1.35

Drawdown Resilience1.09

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.09

Weekly Sharpe est.0.83

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue