0xa2186c...98643c

Smart Score

Win Rate

80.4%

Total P&L

-$4

Trade Count

529

Sharpe Ratio

-0.51

Sortino Ratio

-0.61

Max Drawdown

154.8%

ROI

-0.0%

Profit Factor

4.16

Kelly Fraction

0.610

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

025.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	94.8¢	46.37	Mar 5
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	SELL	95.7¢	36.58	Mar 5
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	BUY	96.9¢	36.58	Mar 4
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	SELL	97.0¢	43.13	Mar 4
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	BUY	94.8¢	43.13	Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	SELL	96.1¢	43.93	Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	BUY	96.3¢	43.93	Mar 4
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	97.2¢	40.04	Mar 3
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	97.5¢	40.05	Mar 3
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?	SELL	98.3¢	43.43	Mar 3
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?	BUY	97.9¢	43.43	Mar 3
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	94.9¢	46.52	Mar 3
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	95.1¢	46.52	Mar 3
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	94.8¢	43.78	Mar 3
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	95.1¢	43.78	Mar 2
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	SELL	93.5¢	47.07	Mar 1
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	BUY	93.6¢	47.07	Mar 1
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	96.7¢	43.59	Mar 1
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	96.9¢	43.59	Mar 1
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	SELL	97.5¢	11.67	Mar 1

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing25.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.41

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.4%

Win Consistency36.1%

Profit Factor0.67

Drawdown Resilience0.54

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.54

Weekly Sharpe est.0.41

Trading Activity529 trades · 37 active days

P&L Calendar

$5312d profit25d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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