0xa25e40...b4fefb

Smart Score

Win Rate

66.7%

Total P&L

+$24

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.14

Sortino Ratio

-0.13

Max Drawdown

589.8%

ROI

1.7%

Profit Factor

2.64

Kelly Fraction

0.414

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

021.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5	BUY	70.0¢	14.06	Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	93.0¢	122.52	Feb 20
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	93.0¢	122.527	Feb 12
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	SELL	98.3¢	115.92	Jan 22
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	98.1¢	115.923	Jan 21
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	SELL	98.2¢	38.98	Jan 21
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	SELL	98.2¢	46.129	Jan 21
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	89.0¢	85.112	Jan 3
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?	SELL	99.8¢	106.11	Jan 1
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?	BUY	99.8¢	106.112	Dec 31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on December 11?	BUY	0.1¢	1,000	Dec 11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on December 10?	BUY	1.4¢	72.143	Dec 10
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	SELL	99.7¢	61.84	Dec 1
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	BUY	99.7¢	61.845	Nov 29
Cavaliers vs. Hawks	BUY	39.0¢	3.282	Nov 27
Hawks vs. Spurs	BUY	52.0¢	3.288	Nov 20
Raptors vs. 76ers	BUY	48.0¢	3.083	Nov 19
Clippers vs. 76ers	BUY	36.0¢	3.194	Nov 17
Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?	BUY	99.9¢	50.18	Nov 17
Warriors vs. Spurs	BUY	57.0¢	1.947	Nov 14

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing21.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.20

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.8%

Win Consistency53.1%

Profit Factor0.57

Drawdown Resilience0.46

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.46

Weekly Sharpe est.0.35

Trading Activity44 trades · 30 active days

P&L Calendar

$3027d profit23d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue