0xa2c36a...6c2b37

0xa2c36a...6c2b37
Smart Score
54
Win Rate
89.3%
Total P&L
+$77
Trade Count
41
Sharpe Ratio
0.67
Sortino Ratio
40.59
Max Drawdown
4428.0%
ROI
0.1%
Profit Factor
10.45
Kelly Fraction
0.807
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
054.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETBUY2.0¢50Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETBUY99.0¢90.909Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETBUY1.0¢100Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETBUY98.0¢10.204Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETBUY98.0¢20.408Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 1?BUY99.9¢39.039Feb 28
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY99.3¢20.141Feb 18
Will Olympiakos win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY99.9¢25.025Feb 18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 10?BUY99.9¢30.03Feb 9
Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY99.9¢25.025Jan 31
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?SELL99.9¢31.07Jan 29
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on January 28?BUY99.9¢30.03Jan 27
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?SELL99.8¢3,538Jan 24
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?BUY99.9¢3,569.079Jan 24
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL99.8¢3,572.65Jan 24
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY99.9¢3,572.652Jan 24
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL99.8¢3,575.57Jan 24
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY99.9¢3,575.575Jan 24
Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL99.8¢3,013.01Jan 13
Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY99.9¢3,013.013Jan 13
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%6%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%94%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing54.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.98
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)49.2%
Win Consistency44.8%
Profit Factor1.41
Drawdown Resilience1.14
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.14
Weekly Sharpe est.0.87
Trading Activity41 trades · 21 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$7801d profit20d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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