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0xa31417...59e2c5

0xa31417...59e2c5
Smart Score
0
Win Rate
26.7%
Total P&L
-$84.2K
Trade Count
953
Sharpe Ratio
-1.24
Sortino Ratio
-2.56
Max Drawdown
1243.7%
ROI
-24.2%
Profit Factor
-0.52
Kelly Fraction
0.778
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
00/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?BUY31.9¢36.48Feb 6
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?BUY84.8¢6,032.77Feb 6
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?SELL69.2¢1,231.34Feb 6
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?SELL70.5¢563.23Feb 6
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?BUY70.0¢216.85Feb 2
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?BUY80.0¢320.33Feb 1
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?BUY84.4¢1,257.39Feb 1
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?SELL5.0¢432Jan 14
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?BUY78.0¢100Jan 7
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?SELL45.0¢150Jan 7
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?SELL45.0¢41.36Jan 7
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?SELL45.0¢458.64Jan 7
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?BUY83.4¢4,094.59Jan 7
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?BUY80.0¢0.62Jan 7
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?BUY80.0¢348.07Jan 7
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?BUY79.2¢151.31Jan 7
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?SELL9.6¢200Jan 7
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?SELL5.0¢387.76Jan 7
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?SELL5.0¢21.07Jan 7
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?SELL5.0¢337.514Jan 7

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%28%< 10%6%10–20%7%20–30%10%30–50%18%50–70%7%70–80%10%80–90%15%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%
Win Consistency34.0%
Profit Factor0.00
Drawdown Resilience0.00
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00
Weekly Sharpe est.0.00
Trading Activity953 trades · 27 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$103,1256d profit21d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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