0xa31feb...55a8e5

Smart Score

Win Rate

47.8%

Total P&L

+$14

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.57

Sortino Ratio

0.85

Max Drawdown

7.7%

ROI

0.5%

Profit Factor

5.91

Kelly Fraction

0.397

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

058.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	98.6¢	100	Mar 5
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	SELL	99.9¢	116.76	Mar 2
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	BUY	96.8¢	116.767	Feb 13
US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?	SELL	99.9¢	113.1	Feb 11
US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?	BUY	98.4¢	113.11	Feb 10
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	1.3¢	100	Feb 3
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	1.5¢	100	Feb 2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	SELL	99.9¢	111.57	Feb 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	BUY	95.0¢	111.579	Jan 23
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	1.0¢	100	Jan 19
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	1.2¢	100	Jan 19
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	1.7¢	100	Jan 14
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	1.4¢	100	Jan 13
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	1.1¢	100	Jan 11
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	1.3¢	100	Jan 9
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	SELL	1.5¢	100	Jan 6
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	1.6¢	100	Jan 5
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?	SELL	99.7¢	100	Jan 3
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?	BUY	95.0¢	100	Dec 25
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?	SELL	98.7¢	100	Dec 20

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active58.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.23

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)53.5%

Win Consistency54.2%

Profit Factor1.53

Drawdown Resilience1.23

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.23

Weekly Sharpe est.0.94

Trading Activity49 trades · 44 active days

P&L Calendar

$8519d profit25d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue