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0xa32535...101032

0xa32535...101032
Smart Score
73
Win Rate
22.1%
Total P&L
+$171
Trade Count
946
Sharpe Ratio
2.29
Sortino Ratio
141.31
Max Drawdown
7.4%
ROI
69.8%
Profit Factor
5.28
Kelly Fraction
0.179
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
073.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL99.8¢12.99Mar 1
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?SELL80.5¢5Feb 28
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?SELL99.4¢4.99Feb 28
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on February 27?SELL99.9¢5Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETBUY48.0¢5Feb 28
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on February 27?SELL98.6¢9.99Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on February 28?BUY0.4¢23.825Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on February 28?BUY0.4¢1.165Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 32-33°F on February 28?BUY1.8¢6Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 0°C or below on February 28?BUY0.5¢20Feb 27
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?SELL16.0¢10Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on February 28?BUY3.7¢5Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on February 28?BUY0.5¢5.66Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on February 28?BUY0.5¢1.789Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on February 28?BUY0.5¢10.05Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 28?BUY1.4¢4.02Feb 27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 27?BUY5.6¢1.21Feb 27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 27?BUY5.6¢3.79Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on February 28?BUY0.5¢2.49Feb 27
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 27?BUY6.5¢5Feb 27

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%96%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active73.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.02
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)66.5%
Win Consistency49.8%
Profit Factor1.90
Drawdown Resilience1.54
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.54
Weekly Sharpe est.1.17
Trading Activity946 trades · 5 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$355d profit0d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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