0xa3774e...2ea2cc

Smart Score

Win Rate

29.6%

Total P&L

+$485

Trade Count

602

Sharpe Ratio

0.48

Sortino Ratio

24.91

Max Drawdown

52.7%

ROI

14.9%

Profit Factor

1.66

Kelly Fraction

0.118

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

048.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	19.0¢	21.053	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	1.0¢	200	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	BUY	0.3¢	333.333	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?	BUY	14.0¢	21.429	Mar 4
Pacers vs. Clippers	BUY	3.4¢	58.824	Mar 4
Hawks vs. Bucks	BUY	17.0¢	11.765	Mar 4
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	BUY	4.0¢	49.934	Mar 4
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	BUY	4.8¢	41.667	Mar 4
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves	BUY	0.1¢	1,000	Mar 3
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves	BUY	0.1¢	1,000	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	BUY	42.0¢	2.381	Mar 3
Thunder vs. Bulls	BUY	0.1¢	1,000	Mar 3
Thunder vs. Bulls	BUY	0.1¢	1,000	Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	59.0¢	5.017	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	28.0¢	28.42	Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	59.0¢	9.017	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?	BUY	20.0¢	8.4	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	BUY	39.0¢	5.128	Mar 3
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves	BUY	9.0¢	25.778	Mar 3
Wizards vs. Magic	BUY	11.0¢	18.182	Mar 3

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing48.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.68

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)44.3%

Win Consistency42.4%

Profit Factor1.27

Drawdown Resilience1.02

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.02

Weekly Sharpe est.0.78

Trading Activity602 trades · 67 active days

P&L Calendar

$29513d profit54d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue