0xa382d1...db44de

Smart Score

Win Rate

96.3%

Total P&L

+$17

Trade Count

577

Sharpe Ratio

-1.06

Sortino Ratio

-0.70

Max Drawdown

10603.2%

ROI

0.4%

Profit Factor

1.24

Kelly Fraction

0.186

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

013.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran strike UAE in March?	BUY	98.6¢	5	Mar 5
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 41.0 on March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will Iran strike UAE in March?	BUY	98.6¢	6	Mar 5
Will the Cash initiative or counter-proposal be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?	BUY	99.0¢	6	Mar 5
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 41.0 on March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.0¢	6	Mar 5
Will Iran strike UAE in March?	BUY	98.6¢	7	Mar 5
Will Iran strike UAE in March?	BUY	98.7¢	6.05	Mar 5
Will Burlington Stores (BURL) beat quarterly earnings?	BUY	98.9¢	9	Mar 5
Will Burlington Stores (BURL) beat quarterly earnings?	BUY	98.9¢	10	Mar 5
Will Iran strike UAE in March?	BUY	98.7¢	9.46	Mar 5
Will the Cash initiative or counter-proposal be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?	BUY	99.0¢	9.96	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 5?	BUY	98.8¢	6	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Iraq in March?	BUY	99.0¢	12	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Iraq in March?	BUY	99.0¢	15	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Iraq in March?	BUY	99.0¢	15	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Iraq in March?	BUY	99.0¢	15	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Iraq in March?	BUY	99.0¢	15	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Iraq in March?	BUY	98.7¢	15	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Iraq in March?	BUY	98.8¢	15	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Iraq in March?	BUY	98.6¢	8.13	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing13.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.73

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)12.1%

Win Consistency58.0%

Profit Factor0.35

Drawdown Resilience0.28

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.28

Weekly Sharpe est.0.21

Trading Activity577 trades · 18 active days

P&L Calendar

$4,5200d profit18d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue