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0xa39ac2...ca980d

0xa39ac2...ca980d
Smart Score
8
Win Rate
81.1%
Total P&L
-$229
Trade Count
1,059
Sharpe Ratio
0.68
Sortino Ratio
7.95
Max Drawdown
763.0%
ROI
-1.4%
Profit Factor
0.46
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
08/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Sinners win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY96.0¢41Mar 5
Will Sinners win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY95.0¢27.98Mar 5
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.60–2.70 in February?BUY96.0¢15.5Mar 5
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.60–2.70 in February?BUY96.0¢54Mar 5
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.60–2.70 in February?BUY96.0¢54Mar 5
Will Scott Colom be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Mississippi?SELL98.5¢55Mar 5
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 8?BUY96.0¢13Mar 5
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 41.0 on March 6, 2026?SELL98.6¢14Mar 5
Will the US add at least 175k jobs in February?BUY95.8¢63Mar 5
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 41.0 on March 6, 2026?SELL98.5¢98Mar 5
Will Hoppers be the highest grossing movie this weekend?SELL98.6¢9Mar 4
Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 43.0 on March 6, 2026?SELL98.7¢5Mar 4
Will Chris Gober be the Republican Nominee for TX-10?SELL98.7¢10Mar 4
Will turnout in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate primary be 2,800,000 voters or greater?SELL99.1¢8Mar 4
Will a dozen eggs cost <$2.30 in February?BUY94.0¢50Mar 4
Will a dozen eggs cost <$2.30 in February?BUY93.0¢37.07Mar 4
Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 43.0 on March 6, 2026?BUY96.0¢5Mar 4
Will Frankie Capan finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Puerto Rico Open?BUY96.0¢30Mar 4
Will Matthew Smith be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?SELL98.5¢73Mar 4
Will Gagan Kumar Thapa be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?BUY94.0¢57Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%21%< 10%7%10–20%20–30%30–50%5%50–70%70–80%11%80–90%50%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.44
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)7.3%
Win Consistency58.9%
Profit Factor0.21
Drawdown Resilience0.17
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.17
Weekly Sharpe est.0.13
Trading Activity1,059 trades · 43 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2,04812d profit31d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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