0xA3af760e15e6B6bd3C43d8cf2AE6952F0a9bB7a6-1720875307802

0xa3af76...9bb7a6

Smart Score

Win Rate

68.5%

Total P&L

+$108

Trade Count

2,684

Sharpe Ratio

0.81

Sortino Ratio

1.61

Max Drawdown

76.2%

ROI

0.2%

Profit Factor

1.23

Kelly Fraction

0.128

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

038.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	95.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	85.7¢	7	Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	96.5¢	7	Mar 5
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?	BUY	99.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	91.6¢	5	Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?	BUY	96.3¢	6	Mar 5
Trump out as President by March 31?	BUY	98.2¢	7	Mar 5
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	99.0¢	8	Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	97.4¢	9	Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?	BUY	50.0¢	19	Mar 5
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	21.1¢	46	Mar 5
Trump sued over tariff powers again by March 31?	BUY	96.7¢	10	Mar 5
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	25.0¢	46	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	99.5¢	13	Mar 5
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	79.0¢	19	Mar 5
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	75.1¢	21	Mar 5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.5¢	16	Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	98.8¢	19	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	84.4¢	11	Mar 5
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	21.1¢	38	Mar 5

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing38.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.14

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)35.4%

Win Consistency63.3%

Profit Factor1.01

Drawdown Resilience0.82

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.82

Weekly Sharpe est.0.62

Trading Activity2,684 trades · 22 active days

P&L Calendar

$3,6405d profit17d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue