0xa3c0c7...e5f6d8

0xa3c0c7...e5f6d8
Smart Score
26
Win Rate
66.3%
Total P&L
-$17.2K
Trade Count
980
Sharpe Ratio
0.21
Sortino Ratio
78.43
Max Drawdown
36650.9%
ROI
-4.2%
Profit Factor
0.75
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
025.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, D HouseSELL0.8¢125Oct 23
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, R HouseSELL0.8¢142.85Oct 23
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?SELL0.5¢1,968.5Oct 22
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?SELL22.0¢0.17Oct 22
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?SELL23.0¢2,473Oct 22
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?SELL23.0¢125Oct 22
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?BUY99.4¢435.21Oct 17
Category 5 hurricane hits US before election?SELL98.2¢0.33Oct 16
Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains?SELL85.0¢20Oct 16
Will Trump say "Taylor Swift" during all female town hall?BUY0.1¢20Oct 16
Will Trump say "Laken Riley" during all female town hall?SELL20.0¢80Oct 16
Will Trump say "ninth month" during all female town hall?SELL60.0¢44.74Oct 15
Will Trump say "Black women" during all female town hall?BUY65.7¢16.32Oct 15
arcWill Trump say "Roe v. Wade" during all female town hall?BUY56.0¢100Oct 15
Will Trump say "Women love me" during all female town hall?BUY44.5¢70Oct 15
Will Trump say "Women's sports" during all female town hall?BUY38.0¢65Oct 15
Will Trump say "ninth month" during all female town hall?BUY42.0¢44.74Oct 15
Will Trump say "Laken Riley" during all female town hall?BUY65.8¢80Oct 15
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?SELL0.3¢8,762.94Oct 15
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?SELL0.3¢24.01Oct 15
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%26%< 10%3%10–20%20–30%6%30–50%4%50–70%5%70–80%8%80–90%45%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing25.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.42
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.5%
Win Consistency40.4%
Profit Factor0.67
Drawdown Resilience0.54
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.54
Weekly Sharpe est.0.41

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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