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0xa402a3...430a7a

0xa402a3...430a7a
Smart Score
38
Win Rate
20.0%
Total P&L
-$10
Trade Count
32
Sharpe Ratio
2.39
Sortino Ratio
1139.95
Max Drawdown
30.1%
ROI
-22.8%
Profit Factor
0.37
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
038/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?BUY32.0¢3.125Mar 5
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?BUY6.7¢14.925Mar 5
Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?BUY1.3¢76.923Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY5.9¢16.949Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY1.5¢66.402Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY0.4¢275.148Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY0.2¢500Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY0.1¢1,000Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY0.6¢166.667Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY0.2¢500Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY0.1¢1,000Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY0.1¢1,000Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETBUY32.0¢3.125Feb 20
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETSELL75.0¢1.93Feb 20
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETBUY51.0¢1.961Feb 20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY18.0¢5.556Feb 20
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?SELL45.8¢2.35Feb 20
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY42.4¢2.358Feb 19
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?BUY11.0¢18.182Feb 19
Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 1PM ETBUY0.3¢365.78Feb 19

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%56%< 10%15%10–20%20–30%22%30–50%4%50–70%70–80%80–90%4%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing38

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.09
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)34.6%
Win Consistency57.1%
Profit Factor0.99
Drawdown Resilience0.80
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.80
Weekly Sharpe est.0.61
Trading Activity32 trades · 4 active days
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P&L Calendar
$210d profit4d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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