0xa417ab...35b980

Smart Score

Win Rate

81.5%

Total P&L

-$2

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-2.35

Sortino Ratio

-1.99

Max Drawdown

15570.1%

ROI

-0.4%

Profit Factor

1.24

Kelly Fraction

0.156

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

09.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will "Hamnet" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?	BUY	91.0¢	7.67	Mar 5
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of March 2 above $390?	BUY	93.0¢	7.4	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?	BUY	91.5¢	5	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	89.1¢	5	Mar 5
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	89.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	91.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	83.3¢	5	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	89.5¢	5	Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 6, 2026?	SELL	82.1¢	5	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	91.7¢	5	Mar 4
Will Solana dip to $40 in March?	BUY	95.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 31, 2026?	BUY	94.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	92.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 6, 2026?	BUY	93.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Solana reach $130 in March?	BUY	94.0¢	5.31	Mar 4
Will Solana dip to $50 in March?	BUY	93.0¢	5.86	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?	BUY	94.0¢	6.91	Mar 3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	95.0¢	5	Mar 3
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	45.0¢	0.91	Mar 3
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	45.0¢	6	Mar 3

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing9.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.54

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.9%

Win Consistency54.4%

Profit Factor0.25

Drawdown Resilience0.21

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.21

Weekly Sharpe est.0.16

Trading Activity77 trades · 10 active days

P&L Calendar

$3472d profit8d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue